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The Fed and economic policy were top of mind this week given the central bank's Wednesday decision to yet again leave interest rates unchanged , as it has since last summer. This week included the conclusion of April's trading month, which marked the first down month of the year for all three major market averages. Indeed, some recent earnings reports have raised doubts about the economy, with brands from McDonald's and Starbucks evidencing signs of strain among consumers. While no new inflation numbers are scheduled for release next week, investors will see reports on March wholesale inventories, March consumer credit and May consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan. AI trade Though interest rates took center stage this week, investors also continued monitoring companies tied to the artificial intelligence boom amid the stocks' recent choppiness.
Persons: they're, Jerome Powell, Larry Tentarelli, David Donabedian, Sam Stovall, There's, Stovall, Tom Hainlin, Tentarelli, CFRA's Stovall, Lyft, Cabot, Aramark, Tempur Sealy, Nikola, Walt Disney, Sally Beauty, Warby Parker, Krispy Kreme, Papa John's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, CIBC Private Wealth, Dow, CFRA, Citigroup, Bank of America, U.S, Bank Wealth Management, University of Michigan, Nvidia, Disney, Spirit Airlines, Tyson Foods, Pharmaceuticals, Lucid, Palantir Technologies, Simon Property, Tech, Lab, Goodyear Tire, Noble Corp, Vornado Realty, Coty, BellRing, Consumer, UBS, BP, Nintendo, Bloomin, Duke Energy, Rockwell Automation, Ferrari, NRG Energy, Electronic Arts, Cirrus, Adaptive Biotech, Arista Networks, Dutch Bros, Holdings, Virgin Galactic, IAC, Rivian Automotive, Brighthouse, Occidental Petroleum, Assurant, Kinross Gold, Labs, Diamond, Reddit, Anheuser, Busch InBev, Embraer, Health, United Parks & Resorts, Emerson Electric, Brookfield , New York Times, Food, Reynolds Consumer Products, Teva Pharma, Uber Technologies, Dine Brands, Liberty Broadband, Fox Corp, Cushman &, Liberty Media, Arm Holdings, Kodiak Gas Services, Solaredge Technologies, AMC Entertainment, Cheesecake, News Corp, Toyota Motors, Fair, US Foods, Hyatt Hotels, Warner Bros, Hilton, Warner Music Group, Unity Software, Insurance, Gen, Honda, AMC Networks Locations: Central, McDonald's, Expeditors, Occidental, Angi, Brookfield , New, Ambev, Cushman & Wakefield, Michigan
The AI-fueled stock market bubble will burst in 2026, according to Capital Economics. The research firm said rising interest rates and higher inflation will weigh down equity valuations. AdvertisementAn artificial intelligence-fueled stock market bubble will burst in 2026, according to Capital Economics. The research firm has said that a stock market bubble, driven by investor excitement towards artificial intelligence, would drive the S&P 500 to as high as 6,500 by 2025, led by technology stocks. The expected bursting of the stock market bubble should lead to a decade of investment returns that favor bonds over stocks.
Persons: , Diana Iovanel, James Reilly, Iovanel, Reilly Organizations: Capital Economics, Service, Capital, US
New York CNN —JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon is worried about the future of the free world. “The geopolitical situation is probably the most complicated and dangerous since World War II,” Dimon said during a talk at the Economic Club of New York on Tuesday. “The world order that formed after WWII, Bretton Woods, WTO [the World Trade Organization], and the UN is kind of being challenged,” he said. This is not the first time Dimon has warned that the world is on the brink of a massive realignment. The country’s national debt is now over $34.5 trillion, or about $103,000 for every American.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, ” Dimon, Dimon, Bretton, , That’s, , Jerome Powell, Niall Ferguson, Chris Isidore, Tesla, Elon Musk, Jeanne Sahadi, Joe Biden, “ won’t Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, JPMorgan, Economic, of New, World Trade Organization, UN, AAA, NATO, Atlantic Treaty Organization, Federal, Federal Trade Commission, FTC, of Commerce Locations: New York, of New York, Ukraine, NATO, Israel, US, China, Bretton Woods, WTO, Russia
BEIJING — Chinese video streaming platform iQiyi is turning its attention to the country's aging population, while using artificial intelligence tools to bolster content production. One of iQiyi's near-term goals is to improve the product offering for older users, CEO and founder Gong Yu said Tuesday at the company's annual conference. Gong also pointed to estimates that predict about one-fourth of China's population will be considered elderly in 2033, rising to one-third in 2053. Fewer children, Gong said, means each child becomes more important. He said iQiyi would improve the quality of its content for children.
Persons: Gong Yu, Gong Organizations: Netflix, CNBC Locations: China, U.S, BEIJING, iQiyi's
Hard-to-handicap geopolitical conflict never helps, even if it rarely serves as the key swing factor in a market trend. .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500, 1-year And then there was simply the elevated valuation and over-optimistic sentiment that had built up over that five-month, 28% rally that culminated at the end of March. Over the long span of time, about 40% of all 5% market pullbacks deepened into full 10% corrections. A 10%-ish correction from the S & P 500 high of 5254 would pull the index down below 4800, the former record high from early 2022, and so would be a test of the first-quarter breakout. Last week's 3% decline took the index back to Feb 21 and thereby closed the "Nvidia gap," the 100-point S & P 500 pop the day after Nvidia's blowout fourth-quarter earnings report.
Persons: Warren Pies, Jerome Powell Organizations: Nasdaq, 3Fourteen, Nvidia, Big Tech, Treasury, Silicon Valley Bank Locations: Silicon
After traveling solo to all 50 US states, I've found some great places to relax and unwind. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementOver the past decade, I've traveled to all 50 US states and spent time in tons of major cities and small towns. I've also driven solo across the country several times, stopping in some of the most unique and beautiful places the United States has to offer. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: I've, , I'm Organizations: Service, Business Locations: California , Oregon, Maine, Taos , New Mexico, Homer , Alaska, United States
There is no public evidence that Giuliani and Martorano know each other. Giuliani spokesman Ted Goodman, in an email to CNBC, said "This is a lawsuit unrelated to us." CNBC requested comment from lawyers for Martorano, his wife, and the other defendants in both the Georgia lawsuit and a federal civil racketeering and fraud lawsuit in California related to the alleged skincare cream scam. In her ruling, the judge wrote that the plaintiff "has shown by a preponderance of the evidence that Konnektive Defendants deceived banks and credit card companies." "The Konnektive software was designed specifically for the purpose of facilitating automated bank fraud," according to the federal suit.
Persons: Rudy Giuliani, Bonnie Cash, Rudy Giuliani's, Matthew Martorano, Giuliani, Donald Trump, Trump, , Martorano, Kevin Kneupper, LeAnne Tan, Ted Goodman, Kathryn Martorano, Konnektive, Kneupper, San Diego judge's, Don Emmert Organizations: New York, U.S, Reuters, New York City, CNBC, La, Visa, Mastercard, Fulton County Superior Court, San Diego, Federal, New, Trump National Golf, AFP, Getty, Trump Save America, Save, Commission Locations: Washington , U.S, Georgia, Martorano, Fulton County, California, San Diego, San, New York, Bedminster , New Jersey
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMeta asks court to dismiss FTC anti-trust case seeking to unwind WhatsApp and Instagram dealsEamon Javers joins CNBC's 'Power Lunch' with breaking news update on Meta's motion for dismiss the FTC anti-trust case.
Persons: unwind, Instagram, Eamon Javers Organizations: Meta, FTC
Citi says a record-breaking rally for cocoa and coffee prices could yet have further room to run, citing adverse weather conditions and demand expectations. In New York, benchmark ICE cocoa futures traded 1.6% lower at $9,370 per metric ton on Thursday. Citi expects cocoa trading to stabilize in a range between $9,000 to $10,000 per metric ton over the next three to four weeks. Citi said cocoa grindings, which result from bean processing and are a measure of demand, will be one key factor likely to determine whether prices have any further upside. Overall, Citi says it remains "mildly bearish" on cocoa prices through to year-end and more so in the 2025 calendar year.
Organizations: Citi Locations: New York, London
Booking Holdings determined Gen Z travel trends by surveying 32,300 people across 32 countries. Data showed that nightlife and entertainment aren't major factors influencing Gen Z's travel plans. AdvertisementNightlife and warm weather are a huge draw for some vacationers — unless you're a member of Gen Z. Related storiesData shared by Booking Holdings, a travel company, shed light on the major factors Gen Z considers when choosing a travel destination. AdvertisementGen Z is getting most of their travel inspiration from social mediaWarm weather wasn't on the top of Gen Z's travel trends.
Persons: , Z, Zoomers, Gen Z, Luis Alvarez, Gen, they've, Thomas Barwick, It's, Instagram, vlogs, it's Organizations: Holdings, Service, Booking Holdings Locations: Florida, Hawaii
Until my son was seven, I was a single mom. As a teacher, I once had a student say they had "mad respect" for me when they found out that I was a single mom, and that's because the majority of people realize that being a single mom isn't easy. But now that I have that and I've been remarried for a couple of years, I actually miss my life as a single mom. If I could go back to my single mom days, I would appreciate the time more. For that, I wouldn't trade having been a single mom for anything.
Persons: I've, it's
AdvertisementDespite class differences, 95% of Americans over the age of 15 engaged in some kind of leisure activity on a typical day, according to the 2022 time-use survey. But the vast majority of Americans' leisure time is spent — you guessed it — in front of the television. Watching TV is the most popular leisure activity, accounting for an average of 2.8 hours a day — more than half of all Americans' leisure time. Americans' spend more time watching TV than any other leisure activity. AlavinphotoSexism and the safety netThere is also a gendered element at play when it comes to Americans' leisure time.
Persons: , It's, I'm, Brigid Schulte, Liana Sayer, Sayer, Sayers, Schulte, Ciara Kelly, Kelly, We're Organizations: Service, Netflix, Business, Bravo, University of Maryland's, Organization for Economic Co, Development, World Economic, US, The University of Sheffield Locations: America, France, Finland, Belgium, Italy, Germany, Spain, Japan, UK
It's true that Americans are overworked, overstressed, and generally awful at unplugging from work, two time-use researchers told Business Insider. But the vast majority of Americans' leisure time is spent — you guessed it — in front of the television. Watching TV is the most popular leisure activity, accounting for an average of 2.8 hours a day — more than half of all Americans' leisure time. Americans' spend more time watching TV than any other leisure activity. AlavinphotoSexism and the safety netThere is also a gendered element at play when it comes to Americans' leisure time.
Persons: , It's, I'm, Brigid Schulte, Liana Sayer, Sayer, Sayers, Schulte, Ciara Kelly, Kelly, We're Organizations: Service, Netflix, Business, Bravo, University of Maryland's, Organization for Economic Co, Development, World Economic, US, The University of Sheffield Locations: America, France, Finland, Belgium, Italy, Germany, Spain, Japan, UK
The BOJ will now look to utilize its short-term interest rate as its primary policy tool. It will employ an interest rate of 0.1% to current account balances held by financial institutions at the central bank from March 21, while encouraging the uncollateralized overnight call rate (another interest rate used as a policy lever by the bank) to remain at around 0 to 0.1% — effectively raising interest rates from -0.1% previously. It would resort to "nimble responses" in the form of increased Japan government bond purchases and fixed-rate purchases of JGBs, among other things, if there is a rapid rise in long-term interest rates. Japanese investors have looked elsewhere for better returns given years of artificially depressed interest rates in their home market. The Fed is due to announce its own interest rate decision on Wednesday.
Persons: Japan Alexander Spatari, Kazuo Ueda, Rob Carnell, BOJ, Ueda, Michael Brown, , JGBs, Vishnu Varathan, Hayden Briscoe, Briscoe Organizations: Japan's, Japan Inc, Asia, ING, CNBC, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Mizuho Financial Group, Bank of America, Barclays, U.S . Federal, UBS Asset Management Locations: Dotonbori, Japan, Japan's, U.S, Mizuho's, Asia
Dollar advances as U.S. inflation data weighs on rates outlook
  + stars: | 2024-03-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar was firm on Friday and set to snap a three-week losing streak as hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation data stoked worries about when and by how much the Federal Reserve would start cutting interest rates this year. The dollar was firm on Friday and set to snap a three-week losing streak as hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation data stoked worries about when and by how much the Federal Reserve would start cutting interest rates this year. Data on Thursday showed the U.S. producer price index for final demand rose 0.6% in February above the 0.3% rise economists had forecast. The dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against six rivals, was 0.058% higher at 103.44, after rising 0.55% on Thursday. In other currencies, the Australian dollar fell 0.18% to $0.657, while the New Zealand dollar fell 0.39% to $0.611.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Ryan Brandham, Carol Kong, bitcoin Organizations: Federal Reserve, Risk, Traders, Bank of, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, New Zealand Locations: U.S, North America
Japan is launching a new high-speed bullet train, or shinkansen, extension on Saturday that will make an under-the-radar prefecture far more accessible to travelers. The new train will pass through the city of Fukui, the town of Awara and other places guidebooks rarely mention, before reaching the port town of Tsuruga, adding some 78 miles to the Hokuriku Shinkansen's existing Tokyo-to-Kanazawa service. A Geisha walks through a performance hall in Awara, Japan. The end of the lineThe new shinkansen service ends in the town of Tsuruga. Kehi-no-Matsubara in Tsuruga, Japan.
Persons: dino, Juratic, Dogen, it's, Buddhika Weerasinghe, Arief, Sugihara Chiune, Sugihara, Matsuo Basho Organizations: Fukui Prefectural Dinosaur Museum, Zen, Getty, Humanity Museum, Mixa Locations: Japan, Fukui Prefecture, Tokyo, Fukui, Awara, Tsuruga, Kanazawa, Katsuyama, Kanaz, Suishouhama, Poland, Lithuania, Nazi
In short, the rent is too damn high — and it’s keeping inflation and interest rates elevated alongside it. We’ll see if they’re right on Tuesday morning when February’s CPI data is due out. “Shelter inflation has been a big focal point for the market,” they wrote in a note on Monday. “We remain confident that [rent prices] will flatline in 2024, rather than fall,” Capital Economics analyst Thomas Ryan wrote in a recent note. That means a current deceleration in rent prices won’t be fully factored into inflation data until February 2025.
Persons: Greg McBride, , Jerome Powell, “ It’s, Powell, aren’t, , Thomas Ryan, Ritti Singh, Singh, won’t, isn’t, Goldman Sachs, Clare Duffy, Reddit, it’s, That’s, Matt Egan, Joe Biden, Bespoke’s Paul Hickey, ” Hickey Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, CPI, Bank of America, ” Capital, Housing Justice, Fed, Dallas Fed, AAA, Federal, Investment Locations: New York
Chris Blondell, an SEO strategist, turned down a high-paying job that required him to be in office. Blondell later found another job that offered both benefits and the flexibility to work from anywhere. All of my work is done behind a computer, so the transition from office to kitchen table wasn't difficult. However, the job description stated that the position required me to be in the office five days a week. More than that, my coworkers are polite and respectful, and I have the flexibility to work in the office or at home.
Persons: Chris Blondell, Blondell, , would've, I've, I'm Organizations: Service Locations: Philadelphia
Gas prices have surged to four-month highs. Don’t panic
  + stars: | 2024-03-11 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
A gas price spike might be the last thing President Joe Biden needs to convince skeptical voters about his economic agenda. But experts say there is no reason to panic about gas prices, at least not yet. Gas prices always rise at this time of the year. Of course, there’s always the potential for unexpected events that could spike gas prices. If anything, De Haan said the earlier-than-expected jump in gas prices this year could cause prices to peak sooner than usual.
Persons: it’s, That’s, Joe Biden, Bespoke’s Paul Hickey, ” Hickey, , , Patrick De Haan, Andy Lipow, Lipow, there’s, GasBuddy’s De Haan, De Haan Organizations: New, New York CNN, AAA, Federal, Investment, CNN, Whiting, BP Locations: New York, Indiana —, Michigan, Illinois, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Saudi Aramco, Ukraine
But some investors are concerned markets could be due for a broader unwind without the help from AI names. As it is, five of the Magnificent Seven names dropped last week, with the exception of Nvidia and Meta Platforms. That advance has helped the S & P 500 climb for 16 out of 19 weeks, notching record after record in its ascent. "A consolidation in the AI trade has been overdue for a while now, so Friday's key reversal day could signal the start of that unwind." NVDA 5D mountain Nvidia Crowding in AI Indeed, other market observers warned investors the overreliance on AI beneficiaries this year could mean danger for the overall market.
Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Peter Boockvar, semi's, Dubravko, BTIG's Krinsky, there's, Russell, Chris Verrone, Goldman Sachs, Krinsky, Samantha Subin Organizations: Nvidia, Meta, Apple, AMD, Bleakley Financial, Google, JPMorgan, Sunday
The S & P 500 Volatility Index finished the week near 15 and is in a clear three- month uptrend from its mid-December low near 12, even as the S & P 500 has gained 10% since then. In fact, Friday the market minimized the headline damage to a mere two-thirds-percent dip in the S & P 500 through its signature rotational impulse. Some indicators — such as speculators remaining net short S & P 500 futures and brokerage strategists' muted index targets — imply the helpful wall of worry is not quite fully scaled. Since then, the S & P has delivered a 16.7% annualized total return, even after two bear markets and two other severe/prolonged corrections. And the S & P is only up 7% from its high 26 months ago, hardly in thin air.
Persons: what's, Eli Lilly, Martin Marietta, Nick Colas, Scott Chronert Organizations: Federal, Nvidia, Costco, pharma, Martin Marietta Materials, Vulcan, 3Fourteen Research, NYSE, Nasdaq, DataTrek, Citi
Shop at Amazon Shop at Walmart What we like Check mark icon A check mark. Shop at Amazon Shop at Hatch What we like Check mark icon A check mark. Shop at Amazon Shop at Best Buy Shop at Casper What we like Check mark icon A check mark. What to look for in sunrise alarm clocksSunrise alarm clocks are a bit different from traditional alarm clocks, so there are certain features you want to consider before purchasing one. How we tested sunrise alarm clocksWe used each alarm for at least three days to test their features and performance.
Persons: Chris Winter, Hatch, Suzy Hernandez, I've, Philips, Jenny McGrath, It's, it's, Alex Dimitriu, William Winter, Dimitriu, Kelly Waters Organizations: Business, Charlottesville Neurology, Sleep, Philips, Amazon, Shop, Bluetooth, Walmart, Smart, Menlo Park Psychiatry, Eastern Psychological Association, SleepScore Labs, Spectrum Health Locations: Charlottesville, Nepal, Casper
Easing mortgage rates won't fully unwind the "lock in" effect, Capital Economics said. Home moves and market activity will remain muted even if borrowing costs become more attractive. "Even if mortgage rates fall to 6% as we expect, mortgage rate 'lock in' will continue to curb home moves," Capital Economics strategists said. In the research group's view, housing market activity will remain muted as competition for homes stays tight and affordability remains historically low. The strategists expect mortgage rates, too, will continue to trend above pre-pandemic levels.
Persons: Organizations: Capital Economics, Service, Capital
The research director at Westfield Capital Management is instead focused on finding attractive stocks through a bottom-up fundamental process. Many companies have been abandoned in this top-heavy market, Meyers said. Instead of calling for a meltdown for the market's favorite companies, Meyers emphasized the stocks destined to rebound once investors shift their focus away from pricey growth names. "We don't overpay for growth for the sake of growth," Meyers said. 5 top stocks to own nowInvestors searching for small-cap stocks to buy are in the right place.
Persons: , Ethan Meyers, Meyers, Morningstar, that's, " Meyers, there's, you've, Kevin Rendino, it's, We're, It's Organizations: Service, Business, Westfield Capital Management, Growth, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia Locations: Westfield
Now, as the Federal Reserve faces the final stretch of its historic inflation battle, a bigger pool of workers could slow inflation even further. That then begs the question: How much more can better labor supply slow inflation? The US Labor Department releases January figures on job openings, quits, hires and layoffs. The US Labor Department reports the number of new applications for jobless benefits in the week ended March 2. China’s National Bureau of Statistics releases February inflation data.
Persons: Mary Daly, , ” Sarah House, Michael Gapen, That’s, Jack Bantock, , , Richard Felton, Thomas, ’ ”, Patrick Harker, Ross, Nordstrom, Michael Barr, Campbell Soup, Foot, Jerome Powell, Loretta Mester Organizations: DC CNN, Federal Reserve, San Francisco Fed, National Association for Business Economics, Labor, CNN, Bank of America, White House’s Council, Economic Advisers, English Premier League, Chelsea, Burnley, Philadelphia Fed, Target, P Global, Institute for Supply Management, US Commerce Department, Abercrombie, Fitch, Financial Services, The Bank of Canada, US Labor Department, Broadcom, Costco, Eagle Outfitters, Potbelly, Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs, European Central Bank, Cleveland Fed, National Bureau of Statistics Locations: Washington, San, Wells, United States, London, JD.com, Kroger, Burlington, DocuSign
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